2020 APR 17 Dr John Ioannidis COVID 19 Serology Study True Infection Rate Fatality in Ballpark of Seasonal Influenza

Eran Bendavid^[1]Eran Bendavid Stanford University; For correspondence: ebd@stanford.edu , Bianca Mulaney^[2]Bianca Mulaney Stanford University School of Medicine; For correspondence: bmulaney@stanford.edu , Neeraj Sood^[3]Neeraj Sood Stanford University School of Medicine; For correspondence: sood.neeraj@gmail.com , Soleil Shah^[4]Soleil Shah Stanford University School of Medicine; For correspondence: soleilsh@stanford.edu, Emilia Ling^[5]Emilia Ling Stanford University School of Medicine; For correspondence: ejling@stanford.edu, Rebecca Bromley-Dulfano^[6]Rebecca Bromley-Dulfano Stanford University School of Medicine; For correspondence: rabd@stanford.edu, Cara Lai^[7]Cara Lai Stanford University School of Medicine; For correspondence: caralai@stanford.edu, Zoe Weissberg^[8]Zoe Weissberg Stanford University School of Medicine; For correspondence: zweiss@stanford.edu, Rodrigo Saavedra-Walker^[9]Rodrigo Saavedra Health Education is Power, Inc.; For correspondence: rolosaavedra@gmail.com, Jim Tedrow^[10]James Tedrow The Compliance Resource Group, Inc.; For correspondence: jtedrow@thecrginc.com, Dona Tversky^[11]Dona Tversky Stanford University School of Medicine; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences; For correspondence: dtversky@stanford.edu, Andrew Bogan^[12]Andrew Bogan Bogan Associates; For correspondence: aabogan@gmail.com, Thomas Kupiec^[13]Thomas Kupiec ARL BioPharma, Inc.; For correspondence: tkupiec@arlok.com, Daniel Eichner^[14]Daniel Eichner Sports Medicine Research and Testing Laboratory; For correspondence: de@smrtl.com, Ribhav Gupta^[15]Ribhav Gupta Stanford University School of Medicine; Department of Epidemiology and Population Health; For correspondence: rgupta97@stanford.edu, John P.A. Ioannidis1^[16]John Ioannidis Stanford University School of Medicine; Department of Epidemiology and Population Health; For correspondence: jioannid@stanford.edu, Jay Bhattacharya^[17]Jay Bhattacharya Stanford University School of Medicine; Department of Medicine; For correspondence: jay@stanford.edu

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Bio: Dr John Ioannidis Sanford University^[19]see url https://profiles.stanford.edu/john-ioannidis

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C.F. Rehnborg Chair in Disease Prevention, Professor of Medicine, of Epidemiology and Population Health, and (by courtesy) of Biomedical Data Science, and of Statistics; co-Director, Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford (METRICS).

Born in New York City in 1965 and raised in Athens, Greece. Valedictorian (1984) at Athens College; National Award of the Greek Mathematical Society (1984); MD (top rank of medical school class) from the National University of Athens in 1990; also received DSc in biopathology from the same institution.

Trained at Harvard and Tufts (internal medicine and infectious diseases), then held positions at NIH, Johns Hopkins and Tufts. Chaired the Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina Medical School in 1999-2010 while also holding adjunct professor positions at Harvard, Tufts, and Imperial College. Senior Advisor on Knowledge Integration at NCI/NIH (2012-6).

Served as President, Society for Research Synthesis Methodology, and editorial board member of many leading journals (including PLoS Medicine, Lancet, Annals of Internal Medicine, JNCI among others) and as Editor-in-Chief of the European Journal of Clinical Investigation (2010-2019).

Delivered ~600 invited and honorary lectures. Recipient of many awards (e.g. European Award for Excellence in Clinical Science [2007], Medal for Distinguished Service, Teachers College, Columbia University [2015], Chanchlani Global Health Award [2017], Epiphany Science Courage Award [2018], Einstein fellow [2018]).

Inducted in the Association of American Physicians (2009), European Academy of Cancer Sciences (2010) American Epidemiological Society (2015), European Academy of Sciences and Arts (2015), National Academy of Medicine (2018). Honorary titles from FORTH (2014) and Ioannina (2015), honorary doctorates from Rotterdam (2015), Athens (2017), Tilburg (2019), Edinburgh (2019, ceremony planned for 2020).

Multiple honorary lectureships/visiting professorships (Caltech, Oxford, LSHTM, Yale, U Utah, U Conn, UC Davis, U Penn, Wash U St. Louis, NIH among others). The PLoS Medicine paper on “Why most published research findings are false” has been the most-accessed article in the history of Public Library of Science (~3 million hits). Author of 7 literary books in Greek, three of which were shortlisted for best book of the year Anagnostis awards.

Brave Thinker scientist for 2010 according to Atlantic, “may be one of the most influential scientists alive”. Highly Cited Researcher according to Thomson Reuters in both Clinical Medicine and in Social Sciences. Citation indices: h=197, m=7 per Google Scholar.

Current citation rate: >4,300 new citations per month (among the 10 scientists worldwide who are currently the most commonly cited, perhaps also the currently most-cited physician).

I consider myself privileged to have learned and to continue to learn from interactions with students and young scientists (of all ages) from all over the world and I love to be constantly reminded that I know next to nothing.

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■  Academic Appointments

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□ Professor, Medicine – Stanford Prevention Research Center
□ Professor, Health Research & Policy
□ Professor (By courtesy), Statistics
□ Professor (By courtesy), Biomedical Data Science
□ Member, Bio-X
□ Member, Cardiovascular Institute
□ Member, Stanford Cancer Institute
□ Affiliate, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment

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■  Administrative Appointments

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□ Co-Director, Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford (METRICS) (2013 – Present)
□ Editor-in-chief, European Journal of Clinical Investigation (2010 – Present)
□ Member, Stanford Cardiovascular Institute (2010 – Present)
□ Member, Stanford Cancer Center (2010 – Present)
□ Affiliate, Stanford Center on Longevity (2012 – Present)
□ Affiliated faculty, Woods Institute for the Environment (2011 – Present)
□ Member, Stanford Diabetes Research Center (2018 – Present)
□ Director, METRIC B (2018 – Present)
□ Professor of Statistics (by courtesy), Stanford University School of Humanities and Sciences (2011 – Present)
□ Professor of Health Research and Policy, Stanford University School of Medicine (2011 – Present)
□ Professor of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine (2010 – Present)
□ Professor of Biomedical Data Science (by courtesy), Stanford University School of Medicine (2016 – Present)
□ Director, Stanford Prevention Research Center (2010 – 2016)

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■  Honors & Awards

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□ Elected member, National Academy of Medicine (2018-)
□ Einstein fellow, Berlin Institute of Health, Einstein Stiftung and Stiftung Charite (2018)
□ Epiphany Science Courage Award, Novim (inaugural award) (2018)
□ Elected Councilor, Association of American Physicians (2017-2022)
□ Elected member, Association of American Physicians (2009-)
□ President, Society for Research Synthesis Methodology (2009-2010)
□ Elected fellow, European Academy of Cancer Sciences (2010-)
□ Elected member, American Epidemiological Society (2015-)
□ Elected member, European Academy of Sciences and Arts (2015-)
□ European Award for Excellence in Clinical Science, European Society for Clinical Investigation (2007)
□ Albert Stuyvenberg Medal, European Society for Clinical Investigation (2019 (award ceremony 5/2020))
□ Chanchlani Award for Global Health, McMaster University (2017)
□ David-Sackett-Preis, Deutsche Netzwerk Evidenzbasierte Medizin (2017)
□ Lifetime Achievement Award, Hellenic Society for Pharmacological Science (2016)
□ Medal for Distinguished Service, Teachers College, Columbia University (2015)
□ Honorary PhD, Erasmus University Rotterdam (2015)
□ Honorary PhD (health sciences), University of Athens (2017)
□ Honorary PhD, University of Tilburg (2019)
□ Honorary doctorate (medicine), University of Edinburgh (2019 (award ceremony 2020))
□ Litchfield Lectureship, Oxford University (2015)
□ Levine lectureship, Yale (2016)
□ Harris lectureship in science and civilization, Caltech (2016)
□ Snyder Lectureship, University of Utah (2016)
□ Anatomy Lesson lecturer, University of Amsterdam and Academic Medical Center (2016)
□ Annual Distinguished Investigator, University of Connecticut School of Medicine and Health Center (2017)
□ Snively visiting professorship, UC Davis (2017)
□ Gonatas memorial lectureship, University of Pennsylvania (2018)
□ David and Rosemary Adamson Lecture on Excellence in Reproductive Medicine, ASRM (2018)
□ C.R. Stephen lecture, Washington University St. Louis (2019)
□ Gordon Award, National Institutes of Health (2019)
□ Honorary President, Medical and Surgical Society of Corfu (2019)
□ Honorary member, FORTH (2014)
□ Honorary professor (omotimos), University of Ioannina (2014)
□ Executive board member and center director, Human Genome Epidemiology Network (2004-)

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■  Boards, Advisory Committees, Professional Organizations

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□ Chair, Scientific Advisory Board, Usher Institute for Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh (2015 – Present)
□ Faculty Fellow, Stanford Center for Innovation on Global Health (2015 – Present)
□ Member, Scientific Advisory Board, Berkeley Initiative for Transparency in Social Sciences (2014 – Present)
□ Member, Scientific Advisory Board, Center for Open Science (2013 – Present)
□ Member, Scientific Advisory Board, International Epidemiology Institute (2012 – Present)
□ Member, Scientific Advisory Board, Reproducibility Initiative (2012 – Present)
□ Senior Advisor for Knowledge Integration, NCI, NIH (2012 – 2016)
□ Member, Methodology Committee, PCORI (2011 – 2013)
□ Vice President, Board of Directors, Hellenic Center for Infectious Disease Control (2000 – 2001)

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■  Professional Education

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□ Fellowship, New England Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Infectious Diseases (1996)
□ Residency, New England Deaconess Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Internal Medicine (1993)
□ DSc, University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece, Biopathology (1996)
□ MD, University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece, Medicine (1990)